Loughgall vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
9º
7º
38
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
LOU
3 - 2
BAL
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 1
LOU
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 0
LAR
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 2
LIN
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 3
LOU
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 1
MOY
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
GLE
12%
22%
66%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
LAR
4 - 1
CAR
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAL
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |