Loughgall vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
9º
7º
19
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
5 - 1
LOU
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LOU
3 - 1
NEW
70%
19%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
GLE
6 - 0
LOU
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LOU
3 - 4
CAR
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
LOU
3 - 2
BAL
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
DUN
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 1
COL
17%
23%
60%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 0
BAL
75%
17%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
NEW
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 0
LIS
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |