Loughgall vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LOU
4 - 1
KNO
72%
17%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
AUN
3 - 0
LOU
54%
22%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 0
LOU
38%
24%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
DER
3 - 0
LOU
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
LOU
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
ARD
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
QUB
2 - 1
ARD
25%
23%
53%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
ARD
0 - 1
AUN
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 3
DUN
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 2
ARD
34%
23%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |