Loughborough vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1896 |
LOU
3 - 0
POR
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1896 |
POR
1 - 1
LOU
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1896 |
LOU
3 - 0
ROT
57%
21%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1896 |
MUD
2 - 0
LOU
75%
15%
10%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1896 |
CRE
1 - 2
LOU
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1896 |
NOT
6 - 0
CRE
77%
14%
10%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1896 |
CRE
1 - 2
LOU
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1896 |
CRE
0 - 7
LIV
18%
20%
62%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1896 |
CRE
3 - 2
POR
23%
22%
56%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1896 |
ARS
7 - 0
CRE
73%
15%
11%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |