Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
60%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loudoun United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MIA
2 - 2
LOU
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 1
LVG
59%
21%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 0
TUL
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ORA
0 - 2
LOU
66%
21%
14%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 0
LOU
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 85 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Tampa Bay Rowdies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
HAA
0 - 1
TAM
13%
21%
66%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
TAM
3 - 2
LOU
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ORS
1 - 0
TAM
16%
24%
60%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SAC
0 - 1
TAM
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 0
LVG
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |