Loudoun United vs Monterey Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loudoun United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
BLE
6 - 1
LOU
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 2
MIA
15%
20%
65%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 4
TAM
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 2
TUL
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ORA
3 - 1
LOU
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Monterey Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MBF
2 - 0
NYO
6%
10%
85%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MBF
0 - 0
DET
6%
16%
78%
|
16 | 50 | 34 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ORA
0 - 2
MBF
90%
9%
2%
|
15 | 50 | 35 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
MBF
1 - 1
NMU
5%
15%
80%
|
14 | 54 | 40 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
MBF
1 - 2
SAC
6%
18%
76%
|
14 | 56 | 42 | 0 |