Loudoun United vs Flower City Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loudoun United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 0
ORS
33%
25%
41%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
3 - 0
BLE
19%
23%
57%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 1
CAR
47%
23%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 1
COL
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
TUL
3 - 0
LOU
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Flower City Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
FCU
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
FCU
3 - 1
MSC
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | +9 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BOB
1 - 0
FCU
90%
8%
3%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
FCU
0 - 2
MSF
10%
19%
72%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
FCU
89%
9%
3%
|
8 | 31 | 23 | 0 |