Loudoun United vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loudoun United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 1
COL
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
TUL
3 - 0
LOU
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 1
USA
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MEM
1 - 3
LOU
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +3 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NYO
1 - 2
LOU
35%
22%
43%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
LSC
94%
5%
1%
|
42 | 6 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
TOR
28%
26%
47%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
5 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
CRW
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
OMA
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |