Loudoun United vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loudoun United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 1
BLE
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
PIT
1 - 0
LOU
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 3
OTT
32%
26%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 2
CHA
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
LOU
3 - 3
CHA
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 2
TAM
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
5 - 0
PIT
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
MEM
1 - 2
CAR
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |