Loudoun United vs Philadelphia Union II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loudoun United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
HAA
2 - 1
LOU
66%
19%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
PIT
3 - 0
LOU
69%
20%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
LOU
2 - 3
NYO
37%
22%
41%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2020 |
HAA
2 - 2
LOU
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 2
PIT
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
NYO
6 - 0
PHU
73%
15%
11%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
TAM
2 - 0
PHU
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
PHU
1 - 2
AFC
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
PHU
3 - 2
NYO
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
PIT
4 - 0
PHU
66%
21%
14%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |