Lota Schwager vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 5
CON
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NUB
0 - 0
LOT
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LOT
4 - 0
UNI
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
LOT
0 - 0
COQ
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
LOT
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 3
EVE
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAN
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAG
0 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
DCO
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |