Lota Schwager vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
LOT
54%
24%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 1
NUB
15%
22%
62%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
LOT
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 2
VAL
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 2
LOT
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 2
CON
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
NUB
3 - 0
PUE
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
PUE
3 - 1
CDP
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 2
UNI
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
NTA
1 - 0
PUE
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |