Lota Schwager vs Naval de Talcahuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
NTA
1 - 1
LOT
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
LOT
0 - 1
UCO
14%
20%
67%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CSD
3 - 0
LOT
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 0
CSD
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
COQ
3 - 2
LOT
65%
21%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
NTA
1 - 1
LOT
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 0
NTA
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NTA
3 - 1
EVE
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
NTA
1 - 3
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
NTA
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |