Lota Schwager vs Naval de Talcahuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
CUR
2 - 1
LOT
40%
26%
33%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 3
PUE
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
LOT
54%
24%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 1
NUB
15%
22%
62%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
LOT
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
NTA
2 - 1
CON
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
NUB
1 - 3
NTA
78%
16%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
NTA
4 - 0
UNI
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
CUR
1 - 0
NTA
41%
27%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
NTA
1 - 3
IBE
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |