Lota Schwager vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CUR
2 - 1
LOT
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
LOT
1 - 1
HUA
7%
14%
78%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
0 - 0
LOT
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
0 - 0
LOT
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
LOT
2 - 2
NTA
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
DEP
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CON
0 - 0
CUR
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
DEP
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
NUB
1 - 1
CON
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
UCH
2 - 2
CON
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |