Lota Schwager vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 2
UCO
5%
13%
82%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 1
NTA
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
CUR
2 - 1
LOT
40%
26%
33%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 3
PUE
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
LOT
54%
24%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
NTA
2 - 1
CON
39%
26%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CON
3 - 2
CUR
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 2
CON
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
LOT
54%
24%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |