Lota Schwager vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NUB
0 - 0
LOT
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LOT
4 - 0
UNI
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
LOT
0 - 0
COQ
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
LOT
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LOT
1 - 0
NTA
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
NUB
25%
26%
50%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MAG
0 - 2
CON
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
CUR
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CON
3 - 3
DCO
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |