Lota Schwager vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 1
LOT
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
NTA
3 - 1
LOT
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 0
MAG
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LOT
3 - 0
SAN
45%
27%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
LOT
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
CON
3 - 1
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
EVE
2 - 3
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CON
4 - 0
PUE
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NUB
1 - 0
CON
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |