Lota Schwager vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CSD
1 - 0
LOT
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ULC
2 - 1
LOT
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
LOT
1 - 0
IQU
23%
27%
50%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
LOT
3 - 0
PUE
34%
28%
38%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CON
1 - 1
LOT
65%
21%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CON
2 - 0
PUE
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
IQU
1 - 1
CON
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
IQU
1 - 0
CON
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CON
1 - 2
CUR
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ANT
2 - 1
CON
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |