Lota Schwager vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
LOT
68%
19%
12%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LOT
2 - 1
NTA
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LOT
1 - 2
BAR
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
LOT
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
COQ
2 - 1
LOT
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
DLS
2 - 2
MAG
72%
18%
11%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
DLS
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DLS
0 - 0
USF
39%
27%
33%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
COQ
2 - 2
DLS
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
DLS
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |