Lota Schwager vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
LOT
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LOT
2 - 0
CUR
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LOT
0 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
DCO
2 - 2
LOT
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MAG
1 - 1
LOT
62%
21%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NTA
1 - 4
BAR
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
DCO
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
COQ
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |