Los Cabos vs Tritones Vallarta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
10º
12º
10º
16
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Cabos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
4 - 0
LCU
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MIN
4 - 0
LCU
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
LCU
0 - 1
TDA
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 15 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
LCU
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LCU
2 - 2
RAF
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Tritones Vallarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TDA
0 - 2
TRI
19%
24%
58%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 3
RAF
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CIM
3 - 0
TRI
63%
23%
14%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
3 - 0
TRI
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |