Los Cabos vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
7º
4º
10
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Cabos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
ZAC
0 - 4
LCU
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NAY
1 - 0
LCU
53%
24%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LCU
0 - 0
TRI
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
LCU
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LCU
3 - 0
MFC
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 1
CSI
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HDZ
2 - 0
MIN
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 1
MIN
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
ZAC
17%
22%
62%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 0
NAY
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +2 |