Los Andes vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Andes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DAL
2 - 0
AND
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
AND
0 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STM
1 - 1
AND
31%
30%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
AND
3 - 0
ACA
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 0
AND
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 0
ACA
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 2
DEF
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
SUA
45%
28%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
DEF
55%
26%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
DEF
59%
25%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |