Lormont vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
LOR
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
NIM
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 1
LOR
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SAI
1 - 1
LOR
45%
25%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 1
VIC
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 0
BER
35%
27%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 1
BAL
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 2
AUR
49%
26%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NIM
0 - 0
BAL
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
TOU
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |