Lormont vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 2
LOR
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 0
NAR
52%
23%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BER
2 - 1
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
LOR
3 - 5
STA
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SAG
3 - 0
LOR
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
MUR
62%
21%
18%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NIM
1 - 0
AUR
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 1
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
AUR
43%
27%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 2
MAR
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |