Lorient vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
CAN
1 - 0
LOR
35%
28%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 2
CAE
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1999 |
LMU
2 - 1
LOR
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
LOR
2 - 0
NIO
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
ESW
1 - 0
LOR
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
LUS
2 - 1
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAN
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1999 |
CAE
1 - 0
VAL
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
VAL
0 - 0
LMU
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
NIO
1 - 1
VAL
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |