Lorient vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
ASN
2 - 0
LOR
57%
23%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
LOR
1 - 1
FCM
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1997 |
AMI
3 - 0
LOR
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
LOR
3 - 0
FCG
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
VAL
3 - 2
LOR
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
TRO
2 - 0
RED
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
NÎM
1 - 1
TRO
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1997 |
TRO
0 - 0
LMU
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
SOC
4 - 0
TRO
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
TRO
1 - 1
LIL
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |