Lorient vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
FCG
1 - 0
LOR
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
LOR
0 - 0
PER
58%
23%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
NIO
2 - 0
LOR
41%
27%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
SOC
0 - 1
LOR
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
LOR
1 - 0
ASB
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
SPO
1 - 1
ASB
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
TRO
5 - 0
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
SPO
4 - 1
STL
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
ASS
2 - 1
SPO
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
SPO
1 - 1
VAL
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |