Lorient vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
FCM
3 - 1
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
LOR
2 - 1
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
FCG
1 - 0
LOR
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
LOR
0 - 0
PER
58%
23%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
NIO
2 - 0
LOR
41%
27%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
SPI
2 - 0
ASB
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
TRO
2 - 0
SPI
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
SPI
1 - 1
STL
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
ASS
3 - 0
SPI
79%
14%
6%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
SPI
1 - 0
VAL
48%
27%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |