Lorient vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
LHA
1 - 0
LOR
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
BRI
1 - 1
LOR
7%
15%
78%
|
78 | 32 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
LOR
4 - 2
NIO
57%
24%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ANG
1 - 1
LOR
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 0
TRO
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
ASS
2 - 0
NIC
38%
28%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASN
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
DIJ
0 - 0
ASS
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ASS
2 - 0
LHA
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
LIL
2 - 3
ASS
61%
24%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |