Lorient vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
LOR
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 0
AJA
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 2
LOR
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
LOR
0 - 1
GAZ
70%
20%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
RED
1 - 1
GAZ
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
AUX
0 - 0
RED
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
RED
1 - 3
CHA
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
LHA
1 - 0
RED
71%
20%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
RED
1 - 0
LEN
23%
25%
51%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |