Lorient vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
MAR
1 - 1
LOR
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
LOR
0 - 1
POI
75%
17%
9%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
ASN
0 - 1
LOR
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
LOR
2 - 4
CHA
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
LOR
2 - 0
OLY
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
RED
6 - 0
OLY
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
STL
3 - 2
RED
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1995 |
RED
3 - 0
FCM
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
TFC
3 - 1
RED
56%
24%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
RED
2 - 1
CAE
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |