Lorient vs Perpignan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
NIO
2 - 0
LOR
41%
27%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
SOC
0 - 1
LOR
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
LOR
1 - 0
ASB
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1996 |
ASS
2 - 2
LOR
67%
19%
13%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
LOR
2 - 2
STL
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Perpignan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
PER
1 - 0
ASS
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
VAL
2 - 1
PER
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
PER
0 - 4
STL
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
TRO
1 - 0
PER
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
PER
0 - 0
SOC
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |