Lorient vs Paris FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
10º
1º
43
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
90% | 49.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 48% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 0
TRO
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
USM
0 - 5
LOR
4%
12%
85%
|
81 | 9 | 72 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 0
LOR
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
RUM
0 - 2
LOR
4%
11%
85%
|
81 | 8 | 73 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 2
PFC
20%
28%
52%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PFC
0 - 0
ANN
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 1
QUE
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PAU
0 - 0
PFC
30%
27%
42%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 3
ROD
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |