Lorient vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
34.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ASN
2 - 0
LOR
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 1
REN
36%
29%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
STR
0 - 0
LOR
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 3
VAL
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
GIR
2 - 2
LOR
58%
25%
17%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
PSG
0 - 2
GIR
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MON
1 - 2
PSG
55%
26%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
PSG
1 - 1
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
LMU
0 - 2
PSG
41%
30%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PSG
1 - 1
LIL
50%
26%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |