Lorient vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
44.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 0
LOR
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 3
LOR
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 1
ASS
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
NAN
1 - 1
LOR
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
LOR
0 - 1
PSG
28%
29%
43%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
SHA
59%
22%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 1
GRE
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
SHA
2 - 0
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 3
MAR
34%
28%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
NAN
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |