Lorient vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
VAL
4 - 2
LOR
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LOR
4 - 2
BRE
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SMD
0 - 4
LOR
1%
4%
95%
|
74 | 7 | 67 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
PFC
1 - 1
LOR
18%
25%
58%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 0
TOU
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
NÎM
4 - 0
BOU
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
SOC
2 - 1
NÎM
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
NÎM
1 - 0
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
NÎM
4 - 1
QUE
72%
19%
10%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 2
NÎM
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |