Lorient vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
LYO
2 - 0
LOR
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
LOR
0 - 0
BAS
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
PSG
0 - 1
LOR
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
GUI
4 - 3
LOR
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 0
REN
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2002 |
NÎM
0 - 0
ASS
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
LMU
1 - 0
NÎM
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
NÎM
1 - 1
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
NÎM
1 - 1
MON
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
CAE
1 - 0
NÎM
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |