Lorient vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
STL
1 - 1
LOR
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
LOR
0 - 2
GUI
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
AMI
0 - 0
LOR
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
LOR
0 - 0
LIL
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2000 |
SOC
1 - 1
LOR
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
NÎM
3 - 2
VAL
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
CAN
2 - 0
NÎM
42%
28%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2000 |
NÎM
0 - 0
CAE
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
LMU
1 - 0
NÎM
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
NÎM
1 - 4
NIO
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |