Lorient vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
REN
1 - 2
LOR
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
3 - 0
ASN
46%
28%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 2
LOR
24%
25%
50%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 1
MPL
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PSG
2 - 2
LOR
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
NIC
4 - 2
BRE
51%
28%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 1
NIC
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 2
LIL
21%
27%
52%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
NIC
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 1
AJA
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |