Lorient vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 1
GRE
48%
28%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
ASS
1 - 4
LOR
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LOR
3 - 0
NAN
41%
29%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
PSG
3 - 2
LOR
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 2
GIR
21%
28%
51%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
NIC
1 - 0
PSG
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 1
NIC
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NIC
2 - 2
GIR
31%
28%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MON
1 - 2
NIC
51%
27%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
NIC
1 - 1
SOC
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |