Lorient vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
TRO
3 - 0
LOR
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 1
TFC
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
LYO
1 - 0
LOR
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 1
LMU
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
NAN
0 - 2
LOR
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
NIC
2 - 1
LIL
33%
30%
38%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 1
NIC
36%
30%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
NIC
3 - 0
TRO
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
NIC
2 - 1
GIR
32%
29%
39%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
LYO
1 - 1
NIC
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | +1 |