Lorient vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1994 |
CAR
0 - 1
LOR
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
LOR
0 - 0
CHA
85%
12%
4%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1992 |
LOR
0 - 3
VAL
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
LOR
3 - 1
TOU
88%
10%
2%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1994 |
STR
0 - 3
NAN
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1994 |
NAN
2 - 0
LIL
61%
24%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1994 |
MPL
1 - 0
NAN
45%
28%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
VEV
0 - 2
NAN
2%
15%
83%
|
81 | 7 | 74 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
NAN
4 - 1
GIR
42%
30%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |