Lorient vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LOR
0 - 1
PSG
8%
16%
76%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
LOR
2 - 1
CAE
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
LOR
2 - 1
BRE
34%
25%
40%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
VAL
3 - 0
LOR
22%
24%
53%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 0
AUX
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BEL
3 - 1
ASN
7%
17%
77%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
ASN
1 - 0
VAL
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
GRA
0 - 1
ASN
7%
16%
77%
|
64 | 26 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
AUX
0 - 0
ASN
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
ASN
2 - 1
CHA
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |