Lorient vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
DEN
2 - 0
LOR
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
LUS
3 - 1
LOR
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 0
NIO
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
ASS
1 - 1
LOR
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
LOR
3 - 4
LMU
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 1
GRE
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
CLE
3 - 1
ASN
36%
29%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
ASN
2 - 1
STL
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
CHA
1 - 0
ASN
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 0
AMI
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |