Lorient vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
MET
3 - 0
LOR
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 1
NAN
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
PFC
1 - 0
LOR
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
AUX
5 - 0
LOR
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 2
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
MPL
1 - 1
STR
51%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1999 |
CHA
0 - 1
MPL
25%
25%
51%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
ASN
0 - 1
MPL
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
TRO
2 - 1
MPL
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
MPL
1 - 1
GIR
32%
27%
42%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |