Lorient vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TFC
1 - 1
LOR
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 2
MAR
27%
29%
44%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 0
LOR
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 3
LOR
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 1
ASS
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LIL
1 - 2
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ASS
2 - 1
LIL
38%
29%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
LIL
0 - 0
PSG
51%
26%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
NAN
0 - 2
LIL
34%
29%
38%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
LIL
2 - 1
GRE
68%
21%
12%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |