Lorient vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
REI
0 - 1
LOR
37%
26%
38%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
MPL
4 - 3
LOR
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 1
CLE
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 1
LOR
26%
25%
50%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
LOR
4 - 1
GAZ
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
LEN
0 - 1
SOC
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
LEN
0 - 1
ORL
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
STA
0 - 1
LEN
9%
16%
74%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEN
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
NÎM
0 - 1
LEN
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |