Lorient vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 2
LOR
31%
27%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 1
SED
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
AMI
1 - 0
LOR
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
LOR
0 - 3
LUS
65%
21%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
LOR
0 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2004 |
STL
0 - 0
IST
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
IST
2 - 0
GRE
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
CLE
1 - 1
IST
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
IST
0 - 0
TRO
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
FCR
1 - 3
IST
36%
29%
36%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |